全球大米供需（碾米基准）_大米_中国_预测值
数据来源:
美国农业部
单位:
百万公吨
频率:
月度
WASDE：全称为World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates，是美国农业部（USDA）发布的核心农产品供需报告，对全球粮食、经济作物等的供需情况进行月度评估，是国际农产品市场重要的参考依据。本数据集不包含每份报告发布后对任何基础数据序列所做的后续修正，因此它反映了随着新信息的出现，评估结果随时间的演变过程，同时记录了每份报告发布时被认为存在的供需状况。由于本数据集未纳入《世界农产品供需评估报告》发布后可能出现的新信息（例如，外国政府针对该报告所涉季度之前的季度发布的官方统计数据修正）所带来的后续修正，因此文件中的数据不应被视为美国政府当前的官方统计数据。整合所有历史修正的正式统计结果请参考外国农业服务局（FAS）维护的官方数据库PS&D，即 “生产、供应与需求” 数据。
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时间 | 市场年度 | 期初库存 | 期末库存 | 出口量 | 进口量 | 产量 | 国内总量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 仅会员 | 仅会员 | 仅会员 | 仅会员 | 仅会员 | 仅会员 | 仅会员 |
| 2026-06 | 2026/27 | 105.0 | 108.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 147.0 | 145.1 |
| 2026-05 | 2026/27 | 105.0 | 108.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 147.0 | 145.1 |
| 2026-04 | 2025/26 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 146.33 | 147.13 |
| 2026-03 | 2025/26 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 146.33 | 147.03 |
| 2026-02 | 2025/26 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 146.33 | 147.03 |
| 2026-01 | 2025/26 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 146.33 | 146.93 |
| 2025-12 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 146.0 | 146.6 |
| 2025-11 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 146.0 | 146.7 |
| 2025-09 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 146.0 | 146.7 |
| 2025-08 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 146.0 | 146.7 |
| 2025-07 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 146.0 | 146.7 |
| 2025-06 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 105.0 | 0.9 | 2.45 | 146.0 | 146.05 |
| 2025-05 | 2025/26 | 103.5 | 105.0 | 0.85 | 2.35 | 146.0 | 146.0 |
| 2025-04 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 103.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 145.28 | 145.98 |
| 2025-03 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 103.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 145.28 | 145.88 |
| 2025-02 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 103.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 145.28 | 145.88 |
| 2025-01 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 103.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 145.28 | 145.48 |
| 2024-12 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 146.0 | 145.7 |
| 2024-11 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 146.0 | 145.7 |
| 2024-10 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 146.0 | 145.3 |
| 2024-09 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 146.0 | 145.1 |
| 2024-08 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 146.0 | 145.0 |
| 2024-07 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 146.0 | 145.0 |
| 2024-06 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 146.0 | 145.0 |
| 2024-05 | 2024/25 | 103.0 | 104.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 146.0 | 145.0 |
| 2024-04 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 103.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 144.62 | 148.22 |
| 2024-03 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 101.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 144.62 | 149.92 |
| 2024-02 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 101.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 144.62 | 149.92 |
| 2024-01 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 102.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 144.62 | 149.92 |
| 2023-12 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 104.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 149.0 | 151.9 |
| 2023-11 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 104.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 149.0 | 152.1 |
| 2023-10 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 104.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 149.0 | 152.1 |
| 2023-09 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 105.1 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 149.0 | 152.0 |
| 2023-08 | 2023/24 | 106.6 | 105.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 149.0 | 152.0 |
| 2023-07 | 2023/24 | 106.8 | 106.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 149.0 | 152.0 |
| 2023-06 | 2023/24 | 106.8 | 106.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 149.0 | 152.0 |
| 2023-05 | 2023/24 | 106.9 | 106.9 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 149.0 | 152.0 |
| 2023-04 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 106.9 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 145.95 | 154.95 |
| 2023-03 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 107.3 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 145.95 | 154.95 |
| 2023-02 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 107.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 145.95 | 154.95 |
| 2023-01 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 108.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 145.95 | 153.95 |
| 2022-12 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 108.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 147.0 | 155.0 |
| 2022-11 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 107.8 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 147.0 | 155.0 |
| 2022-10 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 107.8 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 147.0 | 155.0 |
| 2022-09 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 107.2 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 147.0 | 156.1 |
| 2022-08 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 109.0 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 149.0 | 156.6 |
| 2022-07 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 109.0 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 149.0 | 156.6 |
| 2022-06 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 109.0 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 149.0 | 156.6 |
| 2022-05 | 2022/23 | 113.0 | 109.0 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 149.0 | 156.6 |
| 2022-04 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 113.0 | 2.25 | 5.2 | 148.99 | 155.44 |
| 2022-03 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 113.0 | 2.25 | 4.6 | 148.99 | 154.84 |
| 2022-02 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 113.0 | 2.25 | 4.6 | 148.99 | 154.84 |
| 2022-01 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 113.0 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 148.99 | 154.89 |
| 2021-12 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 113.0 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 148.99 | 154.89 |
| 2021-11 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 113.0 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 149.0 | 154.9 |
| 2021-10 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 112.0 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 149.0 | 155.1 |
| 2021-09 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 111.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 149.0 | 155.7 |
| 2021-08 | 2021/22 | 116.5 | 111.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 149.0 | 155.7 |
| 2021-07 | 2021/22 | 115.6 | 109.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 149.0 | 156.0 |
| 2021-06 | 2021/22 | 115.6 | 109.1 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 149.0 | 156.0 |
| 2021-05 | 2021/22 | 115.4 | 108.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 149.0 | 156.0 |
| 2021-04 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.4 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 148.3 | 149.0 |
| 2021-03 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.4 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 148.3 | 149.0 |
| 2021-02 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.2 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 148.3 | 149.0 |
| 2021-01 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 117.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 148.3 | 147.5 |
| 2020-12 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 147.0 | 146.5 |
| 2020-11 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 147.0 | 146.5 |
| 2020-10 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 147.0 | 146.3 |
| 2020-09 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 147.0 | 146.3 |
| 2020-08 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 116.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 147.0 | 146.3 |
| 2020-07 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 117.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 149.0 | 147.1 |
| 2020-06 | 2020/21 | 116.5 | 117.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 149.0 | 147.1 |
| 2020-05 | 2020/21 | 116.0 | 117.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 149.0 | 147.0 |
| 2020-04 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 118.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 146.73 | 142.93 |
| 2020-03 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 118.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 146.73 | 142.93 |
| 2020-02 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 118.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 146.73 | 142.93 |
| 2020-01 | 2019/20 | 114.42 | 117.25 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 146.73 | 143.0 |
| 2019-12 | 2019/20 | 114.55 | 117.38 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 146.73 | 143.0 |
| 2019-11 | 2019/20 | 114.55 | 116.75 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 146.0 | 143.0 |
| 2019-10 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 117.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 146.0 | 143.0 |
| 2019-09 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 117.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 146.0 | 143.0 |
| 2019-08 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 118.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 146.0 | 143.0 |
| 2019-07 | 2019/20 | 114.5 | 116.0 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 146.0 | 144.6 |
| 2019-06 | 2019/20 | 114.5 | 116.0 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 146.0 | 144.7 |
| 2019-05 | 2019/20 | 115.0 | 117.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 146.0 | 145.0 |
| 2019-04 | 2018/19 | 109.0 | 116.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 148.49 | 143.79 |
| 2019-03 | 2018/19 | 109.0 | 116.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 148.49 | 143.79 |
| 2019-02 | 2018/19 | 109.0 | 116.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 148.49 | 143.79 |
| 2018-12 | 2018/19 | 109.0 | 113.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 143.58 | 142.78 |
| 2018-11 | 2018/19 | 109.0 | 113.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 143.58 | 142.78 |
| 2018-10 | 2018/19 | 94.5 | 96.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 140.8 | 142.5 |
| 2018-09 | 2018/19 | 93.99 | 95.09 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 140.8 | 143.5 |
| 2018-08 | 2018/19 | 93.99 | 95.99 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 142.2 | 144.0 |
| 2018-07 | 2018/19 | 93.99 | 95.99 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 142.2 | 144.0 |
| 2018-06 | 2018/19 | 93.99 | 95.99 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 142.2 | 144.0 |
| 2018-05 | 2018/19 | 93.99 | 97.29 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 144.5 | 145.0 |
| 2018-04 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 93.99 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 145.99 | 142.7 |
| 2018-03 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 93.99 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 145.99 | 142.7 |
| 2018-02 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 94.0 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 146.0 | 142.7 |
| 2018-01 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 94.0 | 1.3 | 5.25 | 146.0 | 142.45 |
| 2017-12 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 94.5 | 1.1 | 5.25 | 146.0 | 142.15 |
| 2017-11 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 92.5 | 1.1 | 5.25 | 144.0 | 142.15 |
| 2017-10 | 2017/18 | 86.5 | 92.5 | 0.9 | 5.25 | 144.0 | 142.35 |
| 2017-09 | 2017/18 | 69.58 | 74.93 | 0.9 | 5.25 | 144.0 | 143.0 |
| 2017-08 | 2017/18 | 69.43 | 75.53 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 145.0 | 143.0 |
| 2017-07 | 2017/18 | 69.54 | 75.74 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 145.0 | 143.0 |
| 2017-06 | 2017/18 | 69.59 | 75.69 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 145.0 | 143.0 |
| 2017-05 | 2017/18 | 69.59 | 75.69 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 145.0 | 143.0 |
| 2017-04 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 69.09 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 144.85 | 144.0 |
| 2017-03 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 69.09 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 144.85 | 144.0 |
| 2017-02 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 69.31 | 0.28 | 5.0 | 144.85 | 144.0 |
| 2017-01 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 69.31 | 0.28 | 5.0 | 144.85 | 144.0 |
| 2016-12 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 69.31 | 0.28 | 5.0 | 144.85 | 144.0 |
| 2016-11 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 70.94 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 144.0 |
| 2016-10 | 2016/17 | 63.74 | 70.94 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 144.0 |
| 2016-09 | 2016/17 | 63.21 | 69.91 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 144.5 |
| 2016-08 | 2016/17 | 63.21 | 69.91 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 144.5 |
| 2016-07 | 2016/17 | 62.41 | 68.61 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 145.0 |
| 2016-06 | 2016/17 | 61.86 | 68.06 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 145.0 |
| 2016-05 | 2016/17 | 61.86 | 68.06 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 146.5 | 145.0 |
| 2016-04 | 2015/16 | 47.64 | 47.76 | 0.35 | 5.0 | 145.77 | 150.3 |
| 2016-03 | 2015/16 | 47.64 | 47.76 | 0.35 | 5.0 | 145.77 | 150.3 |
| 2016-02 | 2015/16 | 47.66 | 47.68 | 0.45 | 4.7 | 145.77 | 150.0 |
| 2016-01 | 2015/16 | 47.66 | 47.68 | 0.45 | 4.7 | 145.77 | 150.0 |
| 2015-12 | 2015/16 | 47.66 | 47.46 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 145.5 | 150.0 |
| 2015-11 | 2015/16 | 47.7 | 47.5 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 145.5 | 150.0 |
| 2015-10 | 2015/16 | 46.8 | 45.6 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 145.5 | 151.0 |
| 2015-09 | 2015/16 | 46.91 | 45.71 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 145.5 | 151.0 |
| 2015-08 | 2015/16 | 46.91 | 46.21 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 146.0 | 151.0 |
| 2015-07 | 2015/16 | 46.91 | 46.21 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 146.0 | 151.0 |
| 2015-06 | 2015/16 | 46.91 | 46.21 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 146.0 | 151.0 |
| 2015-05 | 2015/16 | 46.91 | 46.21 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 146.0 | 151.0 |
| 2015-04 | 2014/15 | 46.81 | 46.91 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 144.5 | 148.4 |
| 2015-03 | 2014/15 | 46.81 | 46.91 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 144.5 | 148.4 |
| 2015-02 | 2014/15 | 46.81 | 46.91 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 144.5 | 148.0 |
| 2015-01 | 2014/15 | 46.81 | 46.91 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 144.5 | 148.0 |
| 2014-12 | 2014/15 | 46.81 | 46.91 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 144.5 | 148.0 |
| 2014-11 | 2014/15 | 46.7 | 46.25 | 0.35 | 3.9 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-10 | 2014/15 | 46.7 | 46.05 | 0.35 | 3.7 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-09 | 2014/15 | 46.7 | 46.05 | 0.35 | 3.7 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-08 | 2014/15 | 46.7 | 46.05 | 0.35 | 3.7 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-07 | 2014/15 | 46.28 | 45.63 | 0.35 | 3.7 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-06 | 2014/15 | 46.83 | 46.18 | 0.35 | 3.7 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-05 | 2014/15 | 46.83 | 46.18 | 0.35 | 3.7 | 144.0 | 148.0 |
| 2014-04 | 2013/14 | 47.38 | 46.83 | 0.35 | 3.5 | 142.3 | 146.0 |
| 2014-03 | 2013/14 | 46.78 | 46.13 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 142.3 | 146.0 |
| 2014-02 | 2013/14 | 46.78 | 45.33 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 141.5 | 146.0 |
| 2014-01 | 2013/14 | 46.78 | 45.33 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 141.5 | 146.0 |
| 2013-12 | 2013/14 | 46.78 | 45.33 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 141.5 | 146.0 |
| 2013-11 | 2013/14 | 46.78 | 45.33 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 141.5 | 146.0 |
| 2013-09 | 2013/14 | 46.88 | 45.93 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 142.0 | 146.0 |
| 2013-08 | 2013/14 | 46.88 | 46.43 | 0.35 | 3.4 | 143.0 | 146.5 |
| 2013-07 | 2013/14 | 46.87 | 46.52 | 0.35 | 3.0 | 144.0 | 147.0 |
| 2013-06 | 2013/14 | 46.62 | 46.42 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 144.0 | 147.0 |
| 2013-05 | 2013/14 | 46.62 | 46.42 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 144.0 | 147.0 |
| 2013-04 | 2012/13 | 45.02 | 46.12 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 143.0 | 144.0 |
| 2013-03 | 2012/13 | 45.02 | 46.12 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 143.0 | 144.0 |
| 2013-02 | 2012/13 | 45.02 | 46.12 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 143.0 | 144.0 |
| 2013-01 | 2012/13 | 45.02 | 45.92 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 143.0 | 144.0 |
| 2012-12 | 2012/13 | 44.95 | 45.85 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 143.0 | 144.0 |
| 2012-11 | 2012/13 | 44.95 | 45.85 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 143.0 | 144.0 |
| 2012-10 | 2012/13 | 44.95 | 45.45 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 143.0 | 143.5 |
| 2012-09 | 2012/13 | 44.77 | 45.47 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 143.0 | 143.0 |
| 2012-08 | 2012/13 | 44.77 | 45.17 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 142.0 | 142.5 |
| 2012-07 | 2012/13 | 44.77 | 45.17 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 141.0 | 141.5 |
| 2012-06 | 2012/13 | 44.77 | 45.17 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 141.0 | 141.0 |
| 2012-05 | 2012/13 | 44.57 | 44.97 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 141.0 | 141.0 |
| 2012-04 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.57 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 140.5 | 139.0 |
| 2012-03 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 140.5 | 138.5 |
| 2012-02 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 140.5 | 138.5 |
| 2012-01 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 140.5 | 138.5 |
| 2011-12 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 140.5 | 138.5 |
| 2011-11 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 141.0 | 139.0 |
| 2011-10 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 139.0 | 137.0 |
| 2011-09 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 44.45 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 139.0 | 137.0 |
| 2011-08 | 2011/12 | 42.57 | 43.95 | 0.6 | 0.48 | 138.0 | 136.5 |
| 2011-07 | 2011/12 | 42.53 | 43.83 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 138.0 | 136.5 |
| 2011-06 | 2011/12 | 42.53 | 43.83 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 138.0 | 136.5 |
| 2011-05 | 2011/12 | 43.63 | 45.73 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 140.0 | 137.7 |
| 2011-04 | 2010/11 | 40.9 | 44.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 139.3 | 136.0 |
| 2011-03 | 2010/11 | 40.9 | 44.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 139.3 | 136.0 |
| 2011-02 | 2010/11 | 40.85 | 43.08 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 139.3 | 136.5 |
| 2011-01 | 2010/11 | 40.85 | 43.08 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 139.3 | 136.5 |